RE: dose of reality9 Dec 2019 13:16
Rev,
Interim report, Sept 20th , 2019, Page 5
'We have gone to great lengths to explain why we do not expect to see coned aquifer water during the lifetime of the EPS, under our base case. This is our continuing expectation. The perched, or stranded, water we have experienced is consistent with our reservoir model and since our capital markets day presentation this interpretation has been reinforced by the Company’s technical work. Notwithstanding the increase in aggregate perched water production to a sustained rate of approximately 7.5%, water cut remains within expected ranges and is not impacting oil production levels or the cost of production. Now that both flowlines are in operation again, we can see that production from the -6 well continues to be of dry oil. Given the proximity of the wells and strong interference between them, this is supportive of a stranded pocket of water being intersected by the -7Z well. Hurricane’s analysis suggests that current production is only coming from a relatively short section of the borehole in the vicinity of the heel in each well. Over time, fractures further along each well bore are expected to contribute to production, reducing the impact of any individual water-bearing fracture.'