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Aha my twat sense was bang on with this one.
Some people can't/wont get it here, no research just questioning why is the mcap higher than x,y or z company.
This is the one investment im committed to long term and when we are at multiple mcap from here I suspect he/she will still be asking the same.
Dyor twat
Surely the antibody market includes oncology use such as keytruda and we have an affimer for that.
If AVA6k turns out to be anywhere near what we hope then what? Cash on at 10x or wait for another 10x or wait for £1200sp :) ffs could be eating beans on toast for years.
Sticky hands here I suspect also adds to SP rise.
A lot like me are holding at least untll the end iof year ava6000 results.
If its good it will be a case of when do I sell? as it will be on an upward trajectory for years after good results.
When to sell knowing there will be an huge upward trend for years? Hopefully this will be a genuine concern for us all.
The short term upside here could be huge but its the longer term potential that is truly staggering. Short term gains could be made elsewhere too but where else would you get the immense medium and long term possibilities?
I know there is always risk but this company has transformed me into a serial ramper, just cant help it, becoming more like sujood every day wink wink nudge nudge:) mind blown!
What a great few days for all holders.
The relaxed atmosphere here and confidence in this company is being reflected in the SP at last.
£2 party monday night i never thought I would edging on a £2.50 party by Wednesday.
I have been flat out with work all week and the missus has said im going out to work everyday come what may from now on.
Well I am flat out the rest of the week and feel like there's a party coming soon :)
Now to try and rumage through 300+ posts.
Gla
Good spot bud, yeah it is indeed a pity.
It will be interesting to see how this progresses, if Darpins are proven safe in humans then I would think the odds are that affimers are as well.
I think if AVA6000 initial data this year comes back very positive it will be the catalist for a snowball effect.
£50 SP or £12.5billion mcap within two years is my target, assuming of course AVA6k is a great success.
Unfortunately I do think if all goes well here we could be snapped up by big pharma but by that time the snowball effect SP would force offers in the region of £5 -20 billion.
Short term who knows what SP but id rather be in than out, very excited to be invested with what could be a behemoth in the coming months and years.
£2 party for me and the missus tonight, I think there will be a few more to come :)
Gla
As a taxpayer ive been fleeced for years anyway.
Even during these lockdowns there is little to no support for some.. ie me!
As far as I am concerned hmg would let my family starve before supporting me, screw them.
I think the problem is there is no standard for S&S reporting. I believe most are based on symptomatic use only. Also CT values may be different as are the collection methods, most as noted appear to be NP.
I agree that there is a lot of competition out there now but no doubt if ours is as good in the clinical trials and with asymptomatic patients then it will sell itself.
Tbh im not fully convinced we are integral to a sovereign test, i think of it as 50-50 but thats not to say we wont sell any to hmg.
There is a reasonable chance we will end up with more cash in hand than the likes of NCYT from the LFT but equally am not concerned if it turns out to be more modest.
The calm in this BB recently speaks volumes about the future potential here and I am quiety confident that Avacta will pull in at least enough revenues to propel us to the next level.
The likes of ODX and NCYT would love to have the IP of AVCT, even if they generate more revenues from the covid opportunity (i dont think they will) where next for them? We all know the opportunities here beyond covid.
The future is multiple diagostic pipelines, multiple prochemo pipelines, multple oncology pipelines, multiple big pharma , multiple billions mcap...
The future is AVACTA and potentially life changing wealth for LTH.. Dyor :)
“ proof that the test was run with actual human sample - for example, the inclusion of a control line specific to human mucosal antigens”
I think this means the inclusion of an additional control line on the actual LFT to prevent someone using for example just the buffer solution and not the AN sample as well.
Possibly to prevent cheating or idiots not using it correctly?
Hi Prof really appreciate the response and apologies for the late reply but I had to work today.
I see what you are doing in averaging out the Au containing intercepts and then dividing the resource estimate by 10 to allow the fact that the average grades of the intercepts are (unfortunately:) not continuous throughout.
As I said I am pretty novice with mining and maybe your working out is a normal practice best estimate.
The way I would have thought it myself would be average Gram per tonne over the whole 1200m drilled and then multiply, as you have done, by strike volume and then tonnes per m3.
The 6 drill holes assumed 200m each
• 16m @ 1.07g/t Au from 69m
• 10.4m @ 2.14g/t Au from 191m
• 23m @ 1.53g/t Au from 143m
• 2.25m @ 7.74g/t Au from 155.8m
• 1.45m @ 16.0g/t Au from 52m
• 1m @ 40.0g/t Au from 90m
Total depth/intercept length.....Grams per tonne/(drill depth/intercept length)
200m/16m = 12.5 ...... 1.07gpt/12.5 = 0.086gpt average over 200m depth
200m/10.4m = 19.2 .... 2.14gpt/19.2 = 0.111gpt average over 200m depth
200m/23m = 8.7 ........1.55gpt/8.7 = 0.178gpt average over 200m depth
200m/2.25m = 88.9 .....7.74gpt/88.9 = 0.087gpt average over 200m depth
200m/1.45m = 137.9 .....16.0gpt/137.9 = 0.116gpt average over 200m depth
200m/1m = 200 ..........40.0gpt/200 = 0.2gpt average over 200m depth
Total 0.778gpt/6 holes = 0.13gpt average of all six holes over 200m depth.
1) Estimated Tonnage = [1000m x 500m x 200m] x 2.4 T/meter cube = 240,000,000 T2)
Based on the above average of 0.13g/T, the calculation will become:
(2) In grams = 240,000,000 T x 0.13g/T = 31,200,000g
(3) In ounces = 31,200,000 /34.2857 (Not dividing by factor of 10) = 910,000 oz
(4) Recovery 80% = 910,000 oz x 80% = 728,000 oz.
Again thinking about this the way I have worked it out assumes there was only gold found in the stated intercept grades and zero grams of gold in the rest, which would be highly unlikely, although when mining this would they not just be chasing the high grade intercepts?
If so then I think your original 2.87gpt average figure would be accurate for economical mining viability but maybe not for estimating the resource?
Either way you work this out there is a lot of gold just in Kwademen alone and there are lot more fingers in a lot more pies here.
Professor thanks for the details posted but I cant get my head around your working out for the average gram per tonne.
% OF EACH DRILL Grams per Tonne
----------------------- -----------------------
29.57% 0.32g
19.22% 0.41g
42.51% 0.65g
4.16% 0.32g
2.68% 0.43g
1.86% 0.74g
--------
AVERAGE 2.87g
=====
I am a bit of a novice in mining stocks and picking pieces up, I would be very grateful if you could explain your calculations further.
Cheers
With all the testing to be carried out at schools I think it would be very beneficial to society if the science teachers spent a lesson educating kids about LFTs.
PCR comparason LOD, CT, S&S, infectiousness etc then they can be smart arses and correct thier parents at home.