pnn5 Jul 2012 23:05
Utility Pennon (PNN) is really a story of structural growth from the firm's Viridor energy-from-waste (EfW) business. EfW involves burning waste to generate high-pressure steam which is converted into electricity and piped into the national grid. It ties in neatly with Viridor's recycling operations as both help cut the need for expensive and less eco-friendly landfill. While the returns from the regulated South West Water business are predictable, if pedestrian, Pennon has big expansion plans for Viridor, with construction set to start on several projects over the next couple of years. Projects in Oxfordshire and Exeter are expected to have already begun, while EfW plants at Cardiff, Avonmouth and Dunbar are pencilled for construction starts between the middle of 2012 and 2014. These could more than double Viridor's earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), according to analysts at Investec. They expect last year's EBITDA of £110.3 million (to end March) to hit close on £290 million by 2016. This would allow the group to comfortably meet its dividend growth target set at 4% above the Retail Prices Index. This year's expected full-year payout of 26.6p implies a 3.5% yield, and meeting its dividend policy growth target would build in a hedge against rising inflation going forward.