RE: Ministers Due Diligence on Zenith26 Jan 2020 13:52
ive been pondering the possibilities, what else is a wet weekend for.
- Zen deal gets approved, Zen and Forum together have enough support to raise cash to proceed with the plan put forward.
- Zen deal gets approved, but Zen fail to raise the $2m required for license renewal (or Zen raise the capital but do not allocate it to Congo as they need funds for other projects), license expires June/July 2020
- Zen deal gets denied, new forum directors raise the capital needed to go forward with 100% (of the 56%) owned by AAOG.
- Zen Approval takes to long, uses that and SNPC payments as excuse to not renew license, Zen have not really lost anything as they have hardly any cash invested in to the project, but the idea of AAOG Congo has helped them sell their bonds for their other projects in the meantime.
- Zen deal gets approved, Zen only renew the license and do nothing more until SNPC payments.
- Zen Approval takes to long, zen doesn't forfill its commitments by Feb 2021 (which may or may not be formally written as requirements in to the full put and call option agreement, requiring execution of certain issues ie license renewal, work on the well), project is kept on hold for years.
- New Forum directors audit the company, find escobar's millions and reasons to cancel the zen deal then continue as originally planned but under new management.
- Nothing happens in Congo for 6 months and the license lapses. new management RTO a new project in to the company, Congo is all but forgotten apart from the hope that one day SNPC pay back their debt.
- Zen deal is approved in time, but Zen have had bad news on other projects, that combined with the reality of zen being unable to repay their bonds has caused the zen share price to tank and the £500k of Zen shares due to AAOG actually gets AAOG a much larger interest then envisaged.
- It all goes as currently planned, deal and cash is approved, well program is underway, SNPC pay up, everyone ends up happy and richer, we all live happily ever after....
To many to think of, to many ups, downs, lefts, rights, yes' and no', ifs and buts, so as always im just going to have to wait and see.