Member Info for Istabrraq

USCDC link below. Consideration should also be given to vaccination coverage & mortality not just the number of cases, IMO.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/travelers/map-and-travel-notices.html

Leaden, the statement below is from a letter Biden received from the US Congress 6th July 21.

"New research from the Mayo Clinic shows the risk of a person infected with COVID-19
boarding a flight from the UK to the U.S. is 1 out of 10,000. The same research shows
that the risk of an infected passenger transmitting the virus to another passenger flying
from the UK to the U.S. is even lower at 1 out of 1 million passengers."

I am unable to locate the actual research doc, if anyone finds it please add a link.GLA

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/17/biden-covid-czar-obstacle-499908

Emerald Carrots, agree with you. UK should not need to reinstate another national lockdown. Also read somewhere that the average hospital stay is now 3 to 4 days for covid cases. Will see what happens over the next month or two. GLA.

New research from the Mayo Clinic shows the risk of a person infected with COVID-19
boarding a flight from the UK to the U.S. is 1 out of 10,000. The same research shows
that the risk of an infected passenger transmitting the virus to another passenger flying
from the UK to the U.S. is even lower at 1 out of 1 million passengers.

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/17/biden-covid-czar-obstacle-499908

In an update to its website, the Irish government made clear that vaccinated adults WOULD NOT have to provide a PCR test or quarantine on entry.

Hopefully the UK will soon drop the pcr test requirement for vaccinated passengers.

https://www.aerlingus.com/support/covid19-information/entry-requirements-for-ireland/

Apologies for my poor english. Meant to say both uk & spain thankfully have a low covid death rate.

Similarly and thankfully to the UK Spain is also experiencing a low covid death rate, 10 today. Hopefully the rates in both areas will begin to plateau & fall over the next few weeks. Cases & deaths in India have fallen back since the peak in May/june. GLA. LTH.

Pressure is mounting for US to lift travel restrictions, see link below.

https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/biden-keeps-us-travel-ban-on-europeans-despite-pleas-for-easing-it

Fear is in the air due to too much uncertainty, be it inflation, delta/ new variants, restrictions/lockdowns. It is an an accumulated sxxt cloud of fear. I have read that the markets have low liquidity over the summer months & SP movements can be over exaggerated thereby causing amplified knock on effects into adjacent sectors. Personally I cannot wait till 2022, apparently bookings are selling out fast. As already posted here the US domestic aviation pax numbers are back to (even exceeding) 2019 levels. Europe is approx minus 40 to 50% & UK is minus 60 to 70%. The European pax numbers can only improve, right? GLA. LTH.

Stockcity, agree with you the market is illogical. I too followed a similar thought process of thinking less restrictions, more travel therefore price should increase. I can only imagine how 'heavy' you are in, but if like me you can hold until end of year or even to next year I believe you/we should see a positive return on the investment. I am invested in RR (not RRx3) & iag plus other travel / leisure stocks which I intend to hold onto until next year. Hopefully the market will turn again soon. Covid cases will peak in the UK early to mid August, eu will follow a few weeks after but I cannot forsee any further national lockdowns (hospitalisations & deaths will be low). Things may get worse before they get better, hold on. GLA. LTH.

A quick glance on Flightradar24 shows a lot of A350's in the air. LTH. GLA

Story in the link below published 22 June 2021 mentions an update on the ITP sale. As that was a few weeks ago I would expect an announcement very soon. GLA.

https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/amp/news/952920

No need for a mass wipe out just yet, human fertility rates are falling. Researchers expect a human population peak of 9.7 billion in 2064 before falling back to 8.8 billion before 2100. What effects this will have remains to be seen. Have a nice weekend.

'Climate change isn’t about people producing too much CO2. It’s because there are too many humans in existence'.
I think the statement above maybe correct, sad but true. Exponential human population growth with finite planetary resources does not bode well for this planets human & other inhabitants. The planet earth will survive & lifeforms will likely evolve/adapt to exist on it, humans & other species will struggle until an equilibrium can be reached. Have a nice weekend.

Inferno, totally agree with you on the future prospects of IAG. The covid emergency in the UK is over, IMO. Unless a covid variant emerges which evades the current vaccines (which I guess is why the pcr tests are still needed) or a totally new virus emerges we are heading back to 'normal'. With the current high infection rates herd immunity in the UK is fast approaching, Euro 2020 & other large scale events will/are helping to achieve this, https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/uk-news/2021/07/07/herd-immunity-looms-as-nine-in-10-adults-in-uk-have-covid-antibodies/
I would be happy to see the SP >220 by Oct 21 & delighted if >250 is breached this year. LTH. GLA.

Sundezena, I think iag is down (or not as low as we would have been) because of Chinese regulator actions. Think the story below triggered a panic in the global markets.

China’s crackdown on technology companies is hitting the markets again today, amid concerns that the rebound in global growth may be fading.
Stock markets across Asia have fallen to a six-week low after Beijing sent shockwaves through global financial circles with plans to tighten restrictions on overseas listings of Chinese companies, as it puts its tech giants under much tighter scrutiny.
China’s CSI 300 index has fallen over 1%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng has tumbled 2.75%, helping to pull the MSCI’s index of Asia shares outside Japan down 1% to its lowest since late May.
An index of tech shares in Hong Kong (where several of China’s biggest online giants are listed) fell 3.75%, and has now slumped by almost 12% over the last seven sessions.

Better late than never, should have been implemented sooner. Now can we develop a vaccine for the CCP to assist the global market? GLA. LTH

Fingers crossed this is confirmed later today. Shapps will update the House of Commons at 11:30 BST. GLA

Thanks for posting the info. Will be welcome news if/when Shapps confirms this tomorrow afternoon. GLA.

Livestock, I am not expecting a reciprocal UK/US corridor to open before late August or September. Really hope I am wrong on that. Best I am hoping for is an early July date for the amber quarantine exemption. 19th great, 26th is okay.mid to late August is no good & the industry will start redundancy procedures. GLA. LTH