RE: To the moon23 Feb 2025 10:51
I agree that we need to either sell Heron to PC or do a JV with them for Heron, and maybe the new blocks as well.
I don't feel that this business model of hoping to finance future wells from the profits of existing wells is particularly realistic for the company at this stage. Not with only relatively meagre funds in place. Already the approach which MB proposed in his late 2024 RNS has hit problems, due to H1 and 2 not producing as much as was probably hoped over the winter period. They were clearly hoping to start H2and 3 from the profits generated over the winter period.
You've only got to look at that example of the company which sold their field to PC - SOCO, who apparently did 27 wells and yet only managed 350 bopd. Oil extraction is highly unpredictable it would seem, so you can't make assumptions about financing yourself from new wells, and basing everything around this. What would happen if there was a raise and then H3 and H4 turned out to be like H2 (initially at least ) has ?
Plus of course, new wells don't just give you millions in the bank instantly - the profits from a decent well take quite a few months to come through, and then there's only a 6 month window for starting new drills anyway between the winter shut downs.
So for me this approach is a flawed one - it leaves far too much to the lap of the gods. What MATD needs right now is either a very large cash injection to allow it to go on to develop other fields in Mongolia, or it needs the cash and resources of PC to help it develop Heron quickly and efficiently.