RE: What’s your opinion25 Sep 2019 19:45
Hi Dealer.
So much to consider as Posters have outlined.
IMO:
This is one of those once in a lifetime opportunities.
Yes a binary bet on oil or no oil.
Alan Burns who initiated BPC was recognized in the industry as masterclass and proved it on several occasions.
He was reckoned as good as it gets (paraphrase).
Appointed Potter as CEO when unfortunately he was on his way to hopefully better things.
Potter was his number 2 so I believe that speaks for itself in the context of expertise.
Nothing has really changed in 10 years except geopolitics/local politics/enhanced technical capability to de risk the prospect.
The prospect is 3.3-28 billion barrels. CPR - Moyes/several oilcos over many years - technically incapable of extraction at the time due to inadequate drill techniques at depth.
The Chances Of Success are 25-35%.- verified CPR.
The tax take is 25%
The price of oil is circa $60 and looking firm.
The cost per barrel of a drill is $30 max based on recent rig deals.
Ergo $30 pre tax for delverability.
People will NPV it and rip the numbers apart based on this and that.
The bottom line is that if we hit oil in reasonable amounts we are in clover.
The dilution will be irrelevant on a decent strike.
The question is .....are you in this to discover oil or trade for a few bob.
If we discover oil this can change people’s lives
THAT IS THE QUESTION WE ALL SHOULD ASK OURSELVES WITH THIS ONE.
Personally I have been a trader professionally and personally all my working like and this is the first time I have ever decided that I am seeing it through to the end .
I expect BPC to be bought out late 2020/early 2021 with a £ sign in front of the price.
For full disclosure I hold several million shares.
GLA.
P.S.
“Under starters orders”
GET SET!