Anchois FID is close11 Jul 2023 10:31
The placing does not alter what we are expecting imminently from Anchois. Here is a reminder from Simon Thompson on 28th June. Extract from article:
“ Around 40 companies accessed the data room and I understand that multiple offers have been received from significantly larger exploration and production companies, according to the company. Chariot has already spent $50mn (£39.2mn) on the project and the board anticipates “retaining a material stake in the licences and a [significant] upfront cash consideration”.
Analysts at Auctus Advisors believe that as soon as the details of a farm-out deal are released to the market then it would lead to a material re-rating. That’s because the combination of the carry on the project and upfront cash payment would materially reduce the risk of any significant dilution for Chariot’s shareholders. I completely agree, especially as I understand that some of the potential partners could fund the project from their own balance sheets.
To put the undervaluation of Chariot’s shares into perspective, Auctus has an unrisked valuation of $839mn (£655mn) based on Anchois’ 1C contingent resources of 365bn cubic feet (Bcf) and 2C contingent resources of 637Bcf. That’s more than four times Chariot’s current market capitalisation. In addition, Anchois has 2U prospective resources of 754Bcf, which have a 49-61 per cent geological chance of success, and offers potential prospectivity across its Rissana offshore licence, which has a total 2U prospective resource of seven Tcf and could attract larger players, too.………
Trading on a steep discount to analysts’ core net asset valuations of 65p, and with an Anchois farm-out firmly on the cards, the shares are well worth buying“
Look back at how Char raised money during the 2021 drilling campaign and shareholders who participated had a good outcome from that. I think it was a clever way of managing potential fluctuations in the sp in the run up to major news as you needed to remain invested to get your open offer shares. I would not be surprised if the Anchois FID news lands before all the new shares are actually issued and you are sitting on an instant profit.