Tony Fabrizi on River Otter6 Jul 2021 22:50
From another bb that River Otter posted on
Tony Fabrizi was asked to comment on River Otter and he responded.
thanks for adding the link to RiverOtter analysis, very insightful. You have asked for my views so:
1. the 5 other esports investments should have been covered in greater detail in the latest interims. Derek Lew is very close to Jonathan Bixby and should be able to obtain an up to date view. For the moment without greater disclosure we can only assume they are worthless.
2. Guild, quoted so we can all see its current value which is about £2.3m to Blue. Blue can sell its shares in Guild in a few months if it wishes.
3. Dynasty: I believe the story is better than RiverOtter is suggesting. The last round was heavily oversubscribed. I would not be surprised if Dynasty alone equalled Blue's current market cap in 3-6 months time.
4. Sthaler: So far raised almost £15m and last valuation puts Blues shareholding around £400k. I could put forward reasons why this might be worth £1m or zero so for the moment I think the £400k is reasonable. Blue only invested £50k.
5. NFT and Leaf: Small holdings lets say £300k combined.
6. SatoshiPay: It's a red herring to talk about Pioneer's lack of shareholding in SatoshiPay implying they dont like SatoshiPay; they became shareholders at the time of esports investments and have never had an opportunity to invest in SatoshiPay or Sthaler. RiverOtter is uncertain of SatoshiPay's value, join the club! I have recently stated that in my opinion SatoshiPay needs Pendulum to work if its to make real progress. They have strong backing from Stellar and while certain posters mock this as being a negative its actually very helpful as Stellar could easily fund SatoshiPay indefinitely if they believe this is in the interests of the foundation. Meinhard gets on very well with the SDF CEO. Personally, I dont believe this will be necessary as I expect them to complete their utility token raise and this will provide all the funding needed for SatoshiPay moving forward. Does this mean Blue can exit SatoshiPay? Possibly, that will depend upon a number of factors on which we can only speculate. A bull market for crypto and SatoshiPay may look very attractive to a number of fintechs looking for a way into blockchain and crypto.
In summary, on my calculations we have SatoshiPay £5m, Guild £2.3m, Dynasty £4.5m, others including cash £1m. Total assets of £12.8m which is around 0.25p per share. If you assume zero for SatoshiPay you have net assets per share of circa 0.15p.