Steady as she goes8 Sep 2020 10:06
There is often a temptation to sell when the share price drops either to cut losses or to buy back in lower. There are risks to both elements. Obviously selling at a loss isn't great but it must be based on your personal circumstances and ultimately the decision is yours.
For what it is worth I have seen this share slip below 10P several times in the last month and we have recovered mostly based on news of some sort and the JB sale has continued in the background.It seems there is no additional negative news coming out of the business at the moment but there are always folks who get insider leaks before others do and act so it is worth being wary of. However on the upside we are almost at the end of a monster sell action, I think something fairly unprecedented. The founder feels the sell was necessitated due to contractual constraints over his holding by the shareholder agreement.
The founder gets down to zero on Friday which can only help things. This business is worth something to a lot of people, the PI's invested, the Amigo management team and the founder selling to zero who wants to take a position of leadership within the business. In order to do that he has publicly stated he wants a controlling / major holding as there is little incentive for him to just try and make only the PI's money. Therefore the fight for this business is just beginning. I can expect to see the share price depressed or volatile until Friday. After Friday should be interesting, I do not have a crystal ball but with the sale drying up and if the share price is still depressed. It would really make sense for the founder to start buying once he officially hits zero. I suspect his broker will play a decent part in assisting here, I could be wrong but here are some of the reasons I am not selling.
1. the classic FOMO usually when I sell share price goes up, that's not scientific, just sods law.
2. the volume of shares available to buy back may be problematic, I have had this issue in the past when i traded in and out
3. The volatility it is really hard to time the market unless you are an experienced day trader and even the day trader average is often below 50% correct.
Ultimately the call to sell should be yours, do not get influenced by people on this board telling to to buy or sell. Evaluate what others are doing and make your own decision. There is a decent probability I could be wrong with my stance but my decisions are my own. I am just sharing my thought process.
Good luck all, hopefully by next week we start to see the much needed upside and a new higher base level to bounce off.