RE: Sky News19 Sep 2019 18:33
One person close to the negotiations said: “We are rapidly approaching an insoluble impasse precipitated by the banks’ demand for another £200 million of headroom. RBS are pushing hardest, so you could end up with a state-owned bank landing another government department with the cost of repatriating thousands of holidaymakers, not to mention dealing with the fallout from 9,000 UK job loses.”
Another source said that, before the last-minute demand, FTI Consulting, the advisory group representing the interests of the banks in the negotiations, had provided written confirmation that the £900 million cash injection was comfortably sufficient to ensure Thomas Cook could continue to trade through the low-season.
“Just when we thought we were there, Thomas Cook is having to scrabble around trying to underwrite £200 million it does not need,” the source said. “It would only be needed in a worst-case scenario such as a hurricane in the Canary Islands, a terrorist attack or if the pound sunk to a record low. The irony is that, in seeking to ensure the business can survive the winter, RBS may end up tipping it over the edge.”
If Thomas Cook were to collapse, it would affect an estimated 150,000 UK holidaymakers as well more than 500,000 customers in overseas source markets, mostly Germany and Scandinavia.
“Companies and governments across Europe would have to pick for this, said one analyst. “The collapse of Monarch Airlines was big but this would dwarf it.”
The other potential stumbling block to securing the rescue deal comes from a group of bondholders who have credit insurance that pays out in the event of default. The hedge funds, including Sona Asset Management and XAIA Investment, have threatened to vote against the rescue deal unless the insurance — in the form of so-called credit default swaps — pays out.
The hedge funds were concerned that they would have been unable to claim payouts from their insurance under the proposed debt-for-equity swap that forms part of the restructuring. Their hopes of a payout were lifted on Monday when Thomas Cook filed for Chapter 15 bankruptcy protection in a US court, but the holiday company has yet to decide to trigger the payout.
Thomas Cook declined to comment, while RBS has yet to make any comment.