RE: Cavendish view30 Sep 2025 10:59
Let's look at this point by point, then GGG.
Cavendish target is £100m mcap. Requires a turnover of $65m and profit of $20m. Turnover is around $40m currently, with new production coming on stream. Not outlandish. Profit might be an issue, as it all gets spent on growth.
1. Cas 4 to be poor. Possibly, in the same way Deep has been poor, but still cash generative.
2. No chance the BOD will let the covenants be called in. They will raise at 10p before that happens. More likely a waiver or new date. Are you really complaining that TXP is spending money on drilling wells and infrastructure? That's called investment.
3. Track record of finding hydrocarbons is actually pretty good. The fact Shell didn't bother is not an indicator of success.
4. Jeez, that's some pessimism.
I think you have unrealistic expectations. They are balancing cash flow, government bureaucracy, shipping of parts, developing drill locations in a jungle etc.