RE: Down, down, deeper & down!4 Mar 2025 14:04
09.44/10.02 - I’ve the same disappointments as Torp esp as in those heady late Jan early Feb days when the CTL team had apparently disappeared off to Oz for the imminent ASX listing I pulled out all the stops and stretched to the limit to buy more shares before the listing completed … only to find out with the raise that the team probably had already cancelled their trip having heard of Esplin’s backtrack. One comment of DF-D in the last InvestorMeet makes me wonder whether they were deliberately misleading about the trip still taking place in order to get their needed raise in at a better price, so I feel scammed. And Gawd knows why they then decided to extend the Retail offer, as it implied there had been feeble uptake and the long delay in closing the offer has just worsened the situation by the day. Such is.
On the cheerful side, however, if one looks at the story from the potential strategic partner level rather than from the burned private investor, little has changed and the storyline remains very attractive. CTL have a great lithium source, mineable at shallow depth (cheaper to mine), proven purity, proven DLE ability to extract, local facilities & infrastructure etc fairly readily accessible and based in a mining oriented country which has a FTA with the USA, and the lithium being produced has excellent green tech credentials for the European market. The team on the ground from the Chairman/acting CEO downwards are experienced and professional, and amongst other things had the foresight to bring the local indigenous and political communities along with them right from the start. CTL was among the very few chosen by the government for fast track CEOL status, and as Gordon (CFO) said, the CTL submitted an extremely detailed document for the application and it's unlikely that the other fast-tracked applicants would be in any position to be able to produce anything remotely comparable. So it's likely the CEOLs progress to direct negotiation in April, which basically means they’ll be awarded, bearing in mind Chile wants to show the world that it’s “open for business” and CTL have been ticking all the boxes. Having a good CEO & the ASX listing would obviously be a bonus, but in due course it will happen, so I doubt it's a big concern for the strategics, especially as some might want to have their own CEO. On top of it all, the Company’s currently dirt cheap. What’s not to like about the storyline?
So although I mutter & groan, I suspect that interest among the potential strategics to examine the imminent PFS is extremely high, and that bodes well for us. It means I'm patiently holding rather than abandoning ship, albeit regretting not being in any position to add more at this cheap price to average down.