RE: If one goes with the following8 Nov 2023 18:39
Eric :
Unquestionably, there are signs that the global economy is cooling. The key debate is will this have a significant enough hit to oil demand to tip the market into oversupply, given higher than expected supply growth this year (mainly from Iran). As of now, using the best tools available to me, I can find no serious signs of demand weakness. Even with recession in the US and Europe next year and global oil demand growing by "only" 1MM Bbl/d, global oil inventories should still fall...from what are already multi-year low levels. Too, do not doubt the "will" and "intent" of HRH ABS.