RE: Take over23 Sep 2025 10:22
This is a well-made point, MammaC. Big Pharma already know the size of the market opportunity, as do Tempus AI.
For us, equity investors, we need to see the near-term traction from the collaboration with Tempus AI to see what level of demand this brings to testing volumes. Q225 saw 492 tests, an increase of 70% YoY and 52% QoQ. This was before the collaboration with Tempus. With Tempus, I think it might be conservative to assume they can maintain the QoQ growth rate of 52%, and if we do this, they would be projected to hit break-even in early Q326, so in approx 12 months from now. That would imply quarterly test volumes of between 3500 and 4000, enough to cover their projected quarterly costs.
Given the base point of a lowly 492 tests for Q225, I wouldn't be surprised if the deal with Tempus leads to an outsized growth spike over the coming year, which, if true, would be a total game-changer for RENX.
Just a simple thought for the morning. DYOR and GLA!