RE: what's this ******?26 Oct 2024 04:20
Hi Bamps
I appreciate your reply and hear everything you’re saying about quality v quantity and it’s makes perfect sense. I’m looking at this from a view of how does SD blow the doors off from a strategic view point.
If we go back to when Newcrest were playing silly games on the 5% the company responded with its own MRE, plus the counter offer on purchasing 5% off them. So the company was already steps ahead in the chess game and it worked perfectly.
We’re now 2 years further on and there must have been many iterations of the DFS run by Newcrest and GGP during that time. Newmont may or may not have done some work on this since, but why push it when they were looking to divest since late 2023. We’re now going to sit and wait another 9-12 months until it’s published in Q3 2025. My question is why?
I appreciate that the team will be working on the MRE for the expanded Telfer, but it’s also an expanded team now including the existing staff at Telfer so maybe that’s spreading the existing senior resource at GGP a lot thinner.
The new business model with Telfer providing the pathway to fully funded opens up now possibilities. I’m just questioning why the DFS sits there for 12 more months to fine tune a 3mtpa maximum mine.
As you say many updates to come, but the cost refinement and shipping to Telfer will maybe reduce the AISC, but it’s already lowest quartile in Australia.
The re routing through the LCA is probably already completed as was pointed out 6 months ago and we’re now 12 months into care and maintenance. And yes the vents are on the critical path not decline. So maybe this is included in the updated DFS already.
So what is the strategic reason behind waiting 12 months to publish? I’m understand none of us know the answer, but I’m just wondering why. It’s not just for adding a few million to the NPV surely