Wilzetta RNS13 Feb 2024 09:13
Having bought a few more UJO shares last week at 17.5p, today’s RNS is excellent news as it shows that we are making real progress in the USA with Reach, and by using our existing cash resources. So no borrowing or placing is required. To mind the Wilzetta prospect’s stated 35% Chance of Success (CoS) seems a bit low for a well defined, combined Hunton and Wilcox prospect which is covered by 3D seismic, when UJO gave a 75% CoS to the West Bowlegs prospect last week. The latter is also a Hunton prospect covered by 3D seismic. Quite interestingly, UJO has taken a 75% interest in Wilzetta, compared to only 45% at West Bowlegs, so some might query this aspect of the deal. I suspect that the estimated 35% CoS is actually for both targets being successful, so the odds of either the Hunton or the Wilcox working here is probably closer to 60%, IMO. The Wilzetta play has most of the factors required for success, and by that the source rock presence and its maturity, and the structural validity have already been demonstrated, so only the reservoir quality needs to be established in the two target horizons. Maybe the younger Pennsylvanian channel sands will also prove profitable if they are present here. Time will tell,of course, but we should know by Q3 2024. This is a heck of a lot quicker than it would be in the UK.