RE: 76,205 BB29 Aug 2024 16:27
Pickedpeck, there's a couple of reasons I believe this is another stitch-up for investors. fist off, the whole oil and gas industry in that part of the world is so incestuous, deals done with the nod of a head or a handshake, a deal that looks great at first glance for one party will doubtlessly at some point in the future reveal a counter-deal that benefits what was thought to be the losing side in the earlier deal. I think DEC has bought another portfolio of rubbish. the seller knows they're selling rubbish so took the best deal they could. This involved part cash, part shares because had DEC had to borrow even more cash, the lenders would have wanted to inspect the books a little closer. So, in this deal, both sides stood to gain immediately. What would have been unmarketable rubbish was disposed of, with a mix of cash and shares. The seller had to take a hit on the share price dropping as they dumped these shares. The near 5% influx of shares into the market has been mitigated to some extent by DEC giving priority to the sellers' holding (I posted an example of how this can be done a week or so ago with BATS agreeing to buy an individual holding outright).
How did it suddenly find all the 'spare cash' to increase the buyback ? Secondary or 'sub-prime' lending. Remember 2008 ? Looks like Rusty does, lol. Anyway, a weird aspect of property deals and financing in the US is the secondary lending market. When I lived over there, we flipped houses, and how it would work was a buyer was only able to borrow 90% of the asking price. But they still didn't have the full asking price, so on the day of completion, our attorneys, the sellers' attorneys. and a secondary lending company would be in a room in person, with the secondary lending company on the phone. As the contracts were being signed, the secondary lender would release the extra 10% needed, so the buyer had all the cash they needed to buy the property. The secondary lender was - by definition - only the secondary lien holder on the property if the buyer defaulted on their loan. In return of course, the secondary lender charged a much higher rate of interest to reflect the risk. I think that's where DEC is at, once they closed the deal, they were able to borrow against it, time will tell what interest rate they're getting this new credit at.