RE: MM Take Private6 May 2025 12:31
There is one big issue you have missed in your calculations and that is - we do not live in a fair or just world.
To take a real world and recent example of the scenario you have posted - Ingenuity.
Apollo (one of the world largest PE firms) apparent offer of 60p per share of Ingenuity. This, along with the remaining capital for the entire business was turned down due to be undervalued. The 60p ‘offered’ was roughly 1 billion for Ingenuity alone.
Flash forward a year or two and it’s taken private for 25 million. Let me repeat that -£ 25 MILLION
That’s a £975 million difference. Where was the opposition from the BOD? The chairman? The shareholders?
Now if we apply the £400 million valuation for MP - rejected for undervaluing the business, we must assume that the same Moulding discount will apply? Taken private for what, £15 million?
Now this sounds crazy right? Like that will never happen? But will it? This is why the SP is where it is, nothing can be guaranteed with THG other than missing targets and financial manipulation from the CEO to benefit himself.
I remain invested purely as I’m down, and I pray for a bid so I can jump ship again. This time I will not be buying back in.