RE: RE FRAC20 Jun 2022 17:27
Jack, I am afraid you are incorrect. Although the refrac does have a good chance of success (75%), it is pretty much a do or die situation. The current flow rates, and even a fair bit higher, are simply not commercial. Previously 77h was initially close to being commercial but the rates declined massively, fairly quickly. You say we have two new wells to look forward to. The whole purpose of the refrac is to prove the viability of those wells and attract a jv partner. If the refrac is not successful, or it at least gives strong indications that adjustments can be made to make it successful, it is unlikely that those wells will be drilled. Of course, there can be degrees of success and only Oilex and their potential jv's know how much improvement will be needed to make it viable.
None of this is talking it down. I am reasonably optimistic that all will be well but nothing is certain. I do find the current big sell off strange. Nothing had changed. The refrac is on schedule and is no less or more likely to succeed than it was months ago. Tempted to buy some more. Atb. Gla.