The latest Investing Matters Podcast with Jean Roche, Co-Manager of Schroder UK Mid Cap Investment Trust has just been released. Listen here.
Yes, 78p is the low end if they mess up the communication. Wilson and Eureka are easy to overlook but they are actually easy to get a resource estimate from with limited drilling, because the brine is the same quality across the strike, in the case of Wilson i think it is 12km or it could be Eureka, lol, anyway, those two alone are worth £150 to 200 mill in market cap as they are compared to Clayton Valley nearby owned by Cypress Development who are worth over £150 mill MC.
I am expecting well north of a £450 mill market cap in 2 years time, even if San Domingo does not come through and the Basin Extensions do not come through. San Domingo alone could push us north of £250 mill market cap very quickly on the initial results provided the phrasiology of the statement is clear and good.
Soon. I am expecting the announcement to contain a reference to Arizona Lithium having less resourced than BHL and yet Arizona Lithium having 3 times the market cap. This will help close the arbitrage in market cap. Some updated slides too and media attention as usual.
BHL, could well be sitting on not one but two of the largest lithium deposits in the USA. The basin sites will be merged to form a huge deposit for the purposes of resource reporting and San Domingo with an assumed strike of 9km versus Kathleen Valley at 1.7km strike valued at over $2 billion could see the SP go stratospheric. We not need to wait for the results in several years time, we will get the first clear indicators this year!!
The ESG issue is haunting all of the miners, regardless of where they are in the world however BHL has assets of all three types and close to the customer with a lesser carbon footprint. It is a clear differentiator to the Oz and African based competition. I watched the Arizona Lithium update on their twitter channel (AGM i think) they have a 50 year mine life which is what we can expect jointly in Wikieup and Wikieup South i think. Look at ZNWD, 8 year mine life and valued at 50 mill? Worth thinking about.
In fairness, we have had alot of updates. I am still chewing through all of the previous RNSs, watching the youtube videos and reading the twitter account. I am understanding the business and its potential pretty well now.
An RNS could drop this week and confirm we have more resources than Arizona Lithium who have 3 times BHLs current market cap. Soon.
If more than half of the drilling is done, we could start getting the initial results of the assays. They released partial information before for Basin East and i think they will do the same for Wikieup. It could be a nice surprise on top of everything else over the next 3 weeks.
Slide 21 from Piedmont has a comparison of miners and Lionstown is there and American Lithium but not Arizona Lithium. You can see that the other miners only have one ore two types of asset. BHL has all three. At the moment, if BHLs Basin East Resource is more than Arizona Lithium (£150 million market cap, 320k JORC)), as the CEO has implied then we are off to the races. It takes time for the market to catch on though.
https://piedmontlithium.com/wp-content/uploads/PLL-Presentation-December-2021.pdf
I am not usually a gambling man, but £5 on an RNS this week. It is most likely to be the Basin East Resource Update but it could also be news on permits or the San Domingo 3D modelling results, which is the mega money asset if it comes through!