RE: Re: Net profits10 Sep 2024 04:40
Bill, I disagree. They have a trial license, which exists to enable continuity of the mine development, during the course of the full license application process. The latter has stalled "no progress", as reported by the Chairman in May. They mentioned an alternative plan to secure a new trial license, with double the permitted ore extraction volume. I see a number of scenarios;
-Secure the full license - this would realize the full value of the asset and pave the way to significant growth. Coringa is a fantastic asset. A long highly profitable period would begin and rerate.
-Double the trial license size. This would enable their three year production targets to be realistic 60,000 ounces
-Renew the existing trial license when it expires - circa two years
-Fail to renew the trial license when it expires due to the full license process being an official rejection
-Have the existing trial license terminated, prior to its expiry date, due to the full license process being an official failure, brought to their attention by the application to double the trial license size. The latter might be viewed as a long term attempt to circumvent the full license criteria, including environmental and local issues.
Its telling that they are refocused on redeveloping Palito. Palito, alone, can not support the business with the existing grades.
Comments on my analysis are most welcome.