RE: Linkedin4 Jul 2025 10:53
SR - you said the following: I believe the exact same thing is happening now. Lawyers going back and forth, negotiating and refining the bilateral contract, taking longer than it should (though *we* and *Jason* should have expected this after our 2024 lesson) and all the while the company is unable to RNS anything to let us know that things are progressing. I've learned that these contracts are incredibly time consuming and that we all need to add *months* to the guidance due to this, and this legal wrangling may apply to other or even all our pipeline projects.
I would not disagree with you and this is entirely plausible, however, I have spent over thirty years working a job that is entirely contract based. None of the contracts I work with are as complicated but many involve international companies , institutional investors, Local Authorities and legal practices in-house, and large and small. The truth is that if and when companies like Cargill and MSC want something 'expedited', it will be. I have seen transactions take years longer than they should and I have seen what should take two months get done in a week, but the one consistent factor is that if someone very senior is focused on delivery and cracks a whip, legal matters can move at great speed...
I would suggest that two other factors may have more to do with ongoing delays; there are, no doubt some very significant logistical issues to contend with, and many sub-contracts (in the sense that other smaller agreements are required to deliver the larger project, such a a right to occupy dockside space for plant and machinery) and the world is currently a very restless place. I personally think that the reasons for ongoing delay may well not be about lawyers rushing to and fro, but more about the 'nitty gritty' of the logistics, and the need for MSC and Cargill to prioritise more pressing global challenges, both economic and security related. Tariffs, the safety of crews using certain bodies of water (Hormuz for example), shifting patterns in world trade and whilst the facts become more compelling, perhaps even a lack of urgency to trial new fuels, may also be at play.
One thing I do still agree with is that if you step back and look at the entire MSC/Cargill/QED agreement, it will and almost 'must' still happen at some point, so I am almost as relaxed as you, but perhaps concerned about different factors being at play.
Not entirely sure what my point is so apologies for rambling, because I am as frustrated as anyone by the lack of news...and I do still hold that this will happen at some point and every day is a day closer!