A fair assessment ?6 Oct 2019 10:27
The FID states that in year 1 our production costs are $110 per month, so given that we receive 80% of the APT price then we need APT to be at $137.50 per mtu as a minimum in order to cover our costs, and every dollar we receive above $110 per mtu is profit
If tungsten remains at $210 per mtu, then at 80% we will receive $168 per mtu.
If we produce 50 tpm our income will be 50 x 100 = 5000 mtu x $168 = $840,000 per month
So at various production levels our income per month will be :-
75 tpm = $1,260,000
100 tpm = $1,680,000
125 tpm = $2,100,000
150 tpm = $2,520,000
175 tpm = $2,940,000
200 tpm = $3,360,000
So, in my opinion, given the above, and given that by far the majority of shares are held by long term holders most of which will have an average well above the current SP, the only way that any large investors will be able to obtain a sizeable holding in WRES is to pay a premium, either by partaking in the placing that MM has informed us is likely to happen at 0.50, or, by trying to buy in the open market, which is likely to result in them paying considerably more than 0.50, additionally of course partaking in the placing provides the cash that is obviously required to see us through the next few months whilst production is being ramped up and will allow us to pay the black rock interest that is due in November rather than rolling it over again, hence why I think that the major investors will partake in the placing and pay the 0.50