RE: Bonds17 Nov 2023 10:27
The cost of borrowing for the Government has reached its lowest point since May as traders ramp up bets on interest rate cuts.
The yield on 10-year UK gilts has dropped more than 11 points to 4.03pc after unexpectedly weak retail sales in October indicated Britain’s economy is struggling.
The yield on bonds is the return the Government promises to pay buyers of its debts.
After the poor retail sales data, money markets were today pricing in 84 basis points of cuts by the Bank of England next year, compared to 78 on Thursday.
Traders expect the first quarter-point rate cut from their 15-year highs of 5.25pc to have happened by June.
Meanwhile, money markets are for the first time predicting that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates by a whole percentage point next year from their record high of 4pc down to 3pc.
It comes as the eurozone inflation rate was confirmed at 2.9pc for October, down from 4.3pc the previous month.