SP Weakness31 Jul 2019 14:36
Although the SP is the same now as it was in Feb'17, (78p) the dynamics of the oil markets have shifted considerably. In Feb 17, the SP took into account the forecasts of global syncretic growth. Trumps trade war was turned that entirely on its head.
A lot of people are saying we are late in the economic cycle now too, a factor that could play into our hands. Trump will not want an economic downturn next year, so he will play nice and try and reach something to appease the market, only if he goes to trash it in late 2020.
Personally, I'm here for the bull-run that I think we will have until September and then I will cash out.