RE: Since the offer6 Mar 2024 14:55
sorry guys but some of these tips are complete gambles versus here. hum is one of the biggest gambles on aim. the reason it bounces around is it's small, and it's a gamble, and aim 'investors' love a gamble. i'd suggest that anyone investing there go in with their eyes open to the history of that company. they have hardly ever hit guidance and every quarterly report is one shambles after another. dan betts is trust fund baby and perhaps the most incompetent ceo on aim. i wouldn't put my money in there even if things appear to be turning around. and you need to recognise they haven;t done anything yet - their original plans are nowhere being realised, quarters late, and they are burning through cash. the only reason this company is still alive is the gold price has saved it for years. oh, and then there's the ****show that is mali. people talk about country risk in tanz, which is lightyears away from a country with a military junta, islamist insurgency, and wagner being paid in commodities.
thor i believe another poster has summed up pretty well.
shg for those who are missing the story here has no debt, 2 x mines, and is throwing off $25m ebitda a quarter at the moment. it also has the highest grade +1moz tenement in africa (wk). it has huge exploration upside. and for $10m outlay they can add another $30m ebitda per year at current gold price. this will take 9 months to kick in.
now, there is an offer on the table that got smoked by investors. plus there are new funds that have invested heavily, and continuing to do so, so safety amongst the big boys. there's three options:
1. saturn up their bid to more than 15p. i think it will be more like 16p to get the funds over the line. i also imagine a lot of pis will join the bandwagon at that level, myself included and i own roughly 0.6% of the company.
2. counter-bid. this will almost certainly be +16p and i'd say up to 18p.
3. saturn bid is removed and we push up to 15p, which is the minimum value for a company with our reserves, near term production upside, zero debt, and throwing off 2p per quarter in ebitda.
so not sure what some posters are talking about. and those other goldies mentioned are seriously rainbows. i've made around £25k trading hum twice after it was smashed by reality and then built up by dan betts bull**** and aim investors piling back in. this is another time to jump in, but if you're willing to do this i'd strongly suggest you sell before news. there's many years of disappointment in that company. it's an absolute mess, in one of the most unstable areas on earth, with $150m of debt on its books. barge pole comes to mind. gla