RE: 6 RNS releases2 Jul 2025 10:10
IFIK
Appreciate your take – solid points, and I agree with a lot of what you've said here.
You're absolutely right that AP's language has consistently focused on expansion. From Tajikistan to the diamond portfolio and a push toward operational scaling, he’s been clear about wanting to grow Vast rather than exit it outright. A full company takeover doesn’t appear to be on the immediate cards.
That said, I do think it’s worth highlighting that expansion and strategic asset sales or JVs aren’t mutually exclusive. The sudden formation of the new strategic board, tasked with reviewing all Vast’s assets at once, feels significant. Normally you'd expect phased reviews of individual assets, but here it seems like a coordinated move to present the entire portfolio – potentially for partnership, divestment, or even consolidation under a larger operator.
On Romania, completely agree – it's been a hard slog to make Baita Plai and Manaila profitable, and with the EU’s increasing appetite for stable, local copper supply, I can absolutely see AP offloading those assets if the price is right. The board may well be preparing for that outcome while stabilising production numbers and shoring up the narrative.
Spot on too regarding Tajikistan. AP’s personal interest, participation in the UK-Tajik mining forum, and the MOU all indicate this is shaping into a long-term strategic focus. There’s also the Aprelevka JV, which would significantly scale production, and the region is politically aligned and resource-rich. Tajikistan could very well become Vast’s core growth hub moving forward.
On diamonds, again I agree – if the historic parcel sales go well (especially post-beneficiation), that might open doors for further diamond involvement, either through new arrangements in Zimbabwe or other African jurisdictions. The broader language in RNSs about “diamond and mineral assets” suggests they’re not done in that space.
Where I do think there might be more happening behind the scenes is in the timing and structure of the recent developments:
The entire board shake-up and strategic appointments
A coordinated review of all assets at once
The full technical team coming on
The due diligence underway at BP
The decision to fund beneficiation without an immediate raise
The lack of dilution, despite having access to it
All these things lining up in a tight timeframe could indicate something more substantial in the background, even if it’s not a formal takeover. Possibly a large JV, a restructuring of how Vast operates across jurisdictions, or even an incoming institutional partner.
In short – I fully agree with your observations, and I also think there's a chance the board is actively positioning the company for a transformational event, even if that’s not a complete sale. Time will tell!