Swings and Roundabouts8 Feb 2022 14:07
I've been following DX for over 20 years, firstly when they were owned by Hays and then through the first IPO, followed by the subsequent PE spell and the second IPO. It's been a story of many ups and downs or swings and roundabouts.
I think that DX's problems stem from the way Hays demerged the business in 2004. Hays owned DX, a logistics business and an office services business. It would have been best to have demerged these together, producing a diverse business that would have been able to sit out storms. Instead, possibly because Hays thought that none of the businesses would reach scale themselves, they sold off the logistics and services businesses separately, leaving DX with mail and express operations in the first IPO. The IPO was full of talk about how DX was going to exploit the opportunities presented by the liberalisation of the mail market across Europe but they failed to do this, partly because the market didn't liberalise as fast as expected and partly because DX shunned the opportunities that were available and were addressed by the likes of Whistl and UK Mail.
Candover's acquisition and merger of DX and SMS in 2006 provided protection from the stock market. The document exchange and SMS's passport delivery contract were both highly profitable but the express business was always a headache and it was only when Petar Cvetkovic's team arrived in 2010 that things started to buzz. Petar understood the express market very well and led a strong turnaround. However, it appears they got overconfident and mistakenly purchased Nightfreight in 2012 and floated DX in 2014. Nightfreight wasn't an express business and it needed a different skill set to run it well, something that its management had lacked for many years. Things didn't go well for DX and in desperation it tried to merge with Menzies Distribution, only to fail. Gatemore got involved around this time and Lloyd Dunn became CEO. You'd think that if there's anyone who knows how to run a business containing Nightfreight it's Lloyd, having founded Nightfreight and also been CEO of Tuffnells, its most similar competitor. Whilst he's been CEO the business looks to have turned round again and he's almost certainly the right person at this time.
Who knows what's going on at DX at present? It's a mystery. It's not the first time there have been allegations of nefarious goings-on. Back in 2017 the City of London Police Economic Crime Directorate started a preliminary investigation into the company's document exchange business after an allegation was made but did not proceed to a full investigation. Nothing was said in public at the time about the reasons for the investigation, just as nothing is being revealed now about what's going on at DX now.