Thursdays Oil Meeting7 Apr 2020 19:59
An OPEC source told Reuters on Tuesday the size of any OPEC+ curbs depended on volumes other producers such as the United States, Canada and Brazil were willing to cut.
Other OPEC+ sources have echoed this, saying it hinged on action by the United States, where costly shale oil production has surged with the help of OPEC+ action since 2016 to support prices. “Without the U.S., no deal,” said one OPEC+ source.
“The situation will require active involvement of all market participants,” the energy ministry of non-OPEC Kazakhstan said in a statement.
The United States has yet to commit to any cut, while Trump has said U.S. oil production had already fallen.
After the OPEC+ talks, Saudi Arabia will host a video conference on Friday for energy ministers from the Group of 20 (G20) major economies “to ensure energy market stability”, an internal document seen by Reuters showed.
A senior Russian source said efforts to get the United States involved in cuts will be on the agenda for Friday’s G20 talks, scheduled for 1200-1420 GMT. Russian President Vladimir Putin has said any output cuts should be made from levels in the first quarter, before Saudi Arabia and others hiked production. OPEC sources said Riyadh wanted cuts to be calculated from its current higher level. Trump wags his finger at Russia and Saudi yet the U.S. remains the major global producer, still at 13.0 million [barrels per day] as of last week. JP Morgan said Thursday’s talks could fail: “We are quite skeptical. The Saudis want to keep pressure on the oil prices in order to gain a larger market share and concessions from Washington”.