RE: Why did management barely participate in this fundraise29 Feb 2024 11:57
The killer for me is "it is seeking to divest in a way that maximises shareholder value". the smoke and mirrors here is that they now can't rely on AVA6000 not cos it doesn't work but because commercialising it will take years and all their eggs is in one basket. The trouble is there won't be a buyer anytime, as you'll just wait until the money gets spent, let Avacta do the donkey work and then pick this up for less when its further along the curve. Next year they'll go to a Riverfort or someone for a death spiral finance deal to try and get it over the line. Either way we know a) nothing is going to happen (aka commercialisation) this year or next. and b) they will need more cash before anything substantive happens. this is dead and no I'm not shorting, its just based on my own painful experience. Mark my words this will very slowly ebb away into single figures. We've paid for the management teams salaries and that is it.