RE: 10-12p range today29 Jul 2025 12:43
FWIIW, I have it on good authority that the market had wind of a BHP bid in 2022. Sp was around 26p and then got heavily bought up to 36p+ and BHP were ready to make a 50p bid for SOLG. In the end, they decided against it. That resulted in Blackrock and others exiting (they were buying up ahead of BHP bid) and then the rest is history... out went Darryl.. in came CGP and the merger then concluded in Feb 2023.
The point is... it's very easy to get the sp into the key areas that make it easy for likes of BHP to sell to their shareholders.
At the moment, the sp is just playing catch up after being neglected for so long. As I said a while ago, it bounced to 13.5p based on hearing the $750m stream deal and then slipped back on the silence and moth balling of exploration.
The sp has to get back to basic 16p/18p levels before anyone would bat an eye lid here. After that, it's easy to get it back to mid 20's and then bid wars can easily kick off in mid 30's and end in the 70's without too much trouble. Getting to Β£1 is going to be very tough near term. Need some hefty block cave derisking to take place before we can get to Β£1. And lets face it... why would a major or the Chinese allow that to happen when they can snaffle this up for less than 75p imho if they are quick.