RE: WHO IS MGMT KIDDING. ITS CALLED A RECOVERY NOT A RESET23 Oct 2025 12:09
You can't use near term metal prices for long term projects. The mining industry has standards and most miners abide by the basics required for reporting.
Based on market averages for reporting over the last 3 months, I would suggest expectations near $1975oz and $4.2 for copper.
Combined with TAM numbers and early cash flows, the PFS should look very impressive compared to the current version. The IRR after-tax likely to nudge up to 28% to 30% levels (and much higher on mid case).
Payback should move from 4 years to just 3.5 years or 3.6ish.
In reality, if we are where we all expect metals to be, then come 2028 and using today's metal numbers, you can see virtually everything doubles although that does assume alot for copper.
Franco & Osisko's royalty stream deals look incredible when you take into consideration lifetime of the mine.