RE: Scenario7 Oct 2022 15:23
Plenty of twists and turns ahead .... for instance... what if NCM or BHP make CGP shareholders a better offer? Would anyone have the b@lls to buy CGP based on SOLG's $3.5m clause? Well, if they can stump up the $400m+ of costs... the answer would be yes.
Whoever bags CGP, also bags 6.7% of SOLG shares.
One last thought, this deal potentially brings in the blocking shareholding that we needed for low balls. So post the deal CGP have 20% and BHP and NCM drop to just over 10.3% each?? Now, post that deal, it's feasible to do an equity raise with BHP and NCM and they might only get back to the 12 or 13% range at best. Now that's how you keep some protection and ensure you troublesome shareholders don't bag more % holdings.
Lots of 'power' moves around with CGP holdings. By securing their 6.7% of SOLG and the 15% ENSA, it puts SOLG in the driving seat again.
It's a cracking deal as it should ensure anyone making a bid has to do so on a proper valuation basis. Between Mather and CGP plus other possible friendlies, they have about 45%+. That's really powerful.