Gold jumps22 Jan 2015 22:40
hi Alex yes im fine thanks, nice to see a few buys going thru, price of gold helps @ $1302.3 and touched $1306.62
Daily Market Report: Gold Jumps as ECB Unleashes QE
22-Jan (USAGOLD) — Gold pushed back above the $1300 as the ECB finally unleashed the QE beast, pledging to print more than one trillion euros over the next 18-months at a minimum. The yellow metal soared to a new 21-month high against the euro at €1145.62
The ECB held steady on rates, and at the press conference, Mario Draghi confirmed that the ECB would expand their asset purchase program to include sovereign debt. The expansion will bring monthly asset purchases to €60 bln a month and will last at least until September 2016. Let’s see, €60 bln x 18-months = €1,080,000,000,000 new euros at minimum.
Draghi believes the new measures will be sufficient to “decisively underpin the firm anchoring of medium to long term inflation expectations.” Yeah, check with your counterparts at BoJ, BoE and Fed to see if it really works that way. I’m sure this time it will be different…
European yields tumbled to new record lows, and of course stocks are always appreciative of a new influx of guaranteed liquidity. However, now that ECB QE has become reality, it pushes policy normalization ever-further into the future. And in fact, it’s looking increasingly like the old-normal may never be seen again.
Borrowing prosperity from the future — under the guise of “smoothing” out normal economic cycles — has become the new-normal. But in adding to already oppressive debt burdens, there’s no way rates can be allowed to revert to the mean, unless policymakers are inclined to devote the entirety of GDP to servicing that debt. They aren’t, so rates will likely have to be confined in close proximity to the zero-bound in perpetuity.
The EUR-USD fell to an 11-year low below 1.14, driving the dollar index above 94.00 for the fist time since November 2003. I concur with MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein who wrote today:
With this backdrop, it seems almost ludicrous that the Fed will just stick to the plan it had in the fall, to start a rate-hike campaign in the middle of 2015.
When the markets come to realize that the Fed is indeed unlikely to start raising rates, gold has the potential to really take off amid expectations of further competitive currency devaluations.
Goldman Sachs president Gary Cohn summed it up nicely at the World Economic Forum in Davos:
“We are in currency wars. The prevailing view is that the easy way to stimulate economic growth is to have a low currency.”
With that in mind, prudent investors are turning to the safe-haven currency that can’t be debased…gold
Overall Average: 80% Strong Buy
Support & Resistance
2nd Resistance Point 1,313.78
1st Resistance Point 1,303.29
Last Price 1,301.53
1s