RE: The financial fox interview15 Jan 2021 18:55
I've been looking a little bit closer at the recent RNS announcement of the Cooperation Agreement with Fleet Oil & Gas. The first thing to look at is target area, Mena region, geographically includes middle East and north African countries. This immediately excludes the Congo so we needn't be concerned over any merger agreement with our cherished prime asset. I think it's important that we remain independent in this regard. Likely countries could be Egypt, because the head of Fleet used to be the Egyptian minister of Hydrocarbons who would naturally have inroad contacts with operators that may wish to offload some of it's dormant fields. The other possibility could be Tunisia. We know AC was in negotiation with the CNPC for an additional concession in Tunisia and may have come across an attractive field that was just a little too pricy to go it alone, but would be a great opportunity to combine with Fleet, mixing available assets, Fleet with money and potential clout to speed up approval/licencing and Zenith with rigs, an already established same operator contract and a operator licence. it would also confirm that Fleet believe the Tunisian approvals/licences are guaranteed.
It was interesting to read that these concession/concessions had a production rate of 2000 BOE per day. However, It wasn't stated clearly how much oil was produced that was presently operational and non operational. This is extremely important in view of the cost of recovery and the potential to enhance production. I also liked the word "excess" due to the fact that AC is gaining a reputation as someone who is intentionally conservative with his estimations. A good example of this clearly demonstrated on his website showing Tilapia with potential of 2000 - 3000 BOE per day when AAOG have already projected a return potential of 5300 BOE per day. This Cooperation Agreement could end up giving Zenith a very nice return indeed.
RNS 11th January 2021
"reviewing a number of Potential Acquisitions, both operated and non-operated, with a production rate in excess of 2,000 barrels of oil per day."