PPC - Before PF/EV1 Aug 2018 18:51
When looking at where the price is now, it is helpful to look back to pre PF/EV. I bought in Summer 2017 prior to the PF/EV deal. I was buying into a company with production in Arg (potential to increase on a work over program), non core production in US along with possible upside from Paraguay and acreage in Argentina. In my opinion it was also under financed, loss making and not generating free cash. It was also only getting $55 pb for its oil. Being generous, group production was at best 1000 - 1100 bopd.
The PF/EV deal was announced on 21 Sep 2017. The day before the shares closed at 7.2p giving a market cap of £74m. Today at a price of 9.15p and allowing for the issue of new shares to fund the deal the market cap is £98m so an increase in value of £24m or 32%
But look what has changed since before the PV/EV deal:- group production towards the top end of 2500 - 3000 bopd (up something like 125 to 150% )with potential for it to move beyond following further workover and drills, They are now getting $68 for their oil, they are cash generative with a stronger balance sheet. Paraguay is still there, acreage in Salta is still there.
You can draw one of two conclusions either they were massively overpriced in Sep 2017 or they are great value today.
As I said before based on available information my personal target is 14p.
This is of course just in my humble opinion