RE: God this is depressing18 Feb 2022 21:25
Yes green , spot as apposed to contract , however , the major sellers , SQM , Albermarle etc wont let us in on any new contract prices and that is if they are able to create new contracts at all , two year ago all the majors had forward sold all their lithium supplies 5 years forward . Any new offtakes ie Vulcan etc have been at market so is this not spot price ? The problem is , what is market price , could it be LME : https://www.lme.com/en/metals/ev/about-lithium which is $56 odd thousand a tonne . I recently spoke to another up and comer in Europe and they are offering 7 % discount to market for life of mine offtake , with such a huge supply deficit , the market price will be closer to that spot price than you think . The offtakers are shooting themselves and are panicking about price hence why I do not think we have seen any real new offtake agreements , the dam is building I believe and the pressure is about to burst , once we see one offtake ( contractural ) with a price figure closer to spot , the whole market will change sentiment in the sellers favor . And Lithium boom 3 will begin in earnest .