RE: Hello 12p!8 May 2024 10:37
Always has that whiff with Nero doesn't it. Fair do's to him (or Swansinger) that they have signed up AZ with a meaningful contract. And I was happy to praise this swallow, knowing that summer is alway a long time coming (if it ever does) with Newland. As you correctly point out, Newland has a dreadful ftrack record of hyping but not delivering. And this was one of the reasons that big investors got totally disillusioned & sold out, but not until after being royally rogered by the post FDA 80p cash raise, soon after which Newland missed his own forecasts, and the sp slumped...
Newland went on record at the trading update in November: YE 2023 revenue c£2.2m, with "Revenue recognised for 2024 expected to treble compared to 2023" i.e. to £6.6m. True to form, Newland provided no detail or rationale as to why it would 3x - a classic Newland ploy.
So with Q1 over, how is AGL performing against Newland's own predictive scorecard of £6.6m YE 24 revs? I dont think one can be terribly reassured tbh. Year to date the revenues from contracts announces stands at just £900,000 i.e.
(Eisei ($250,000) ; AZ DDR assay (£150,000); AZ prostate detection assay (£550,000).
Pro-rating that for the full year gets one to £3.6m. So either the deal flow has to accelerate at a massive rate to meet Newland's target or they have to land some big whales.