RE: Help Needed Please15 Oct 2023 11:48
Barchid,
Posters arrive here without a complete knowledge of MARS history. Whether any of us like it or not management decisions of the past affect a company going forwards. It could be good or in MARS case bad. RF was focused on enlarging the Estate through borrowing but forgot to take account how Pubs have gradually and consistently become unprofitable, consequently closures continued at an increased rate, especially since Covid.
Shareholders need to understand under RF's watch not only did debt escalate, he agreed terms with Brains to manage a bunch of run-down pubs that required serious maintenance, his discreet rejection of Platinium's offer ( exceptional against today's SP) and his curtailment of Dividends which many of us valued ( I remeber Trent's comments each time the iv was due). THe list of Findlay's discressions is considerable.
Trading updates are only a guide as to how income has increased(decreased) against previous records. This trading data fails to provide any meaningful detail of Profits which we know will have been impacted by the increased input costs. These costs effect every Hospitality business, however sector company's use the same method of presenting Trading reports, which to me is clouding the true state of affairs, especially with a company, any company, that has over borrowed. It will be the full yera's audited accounts that will dsiclose the real state of finances. It is all very well Anreas predicting increased profitabilty in the next fiscal year. Maybe his crystal ball tell something the market does not see??
You are right, the sale of Pubs will determine how book value is translated into actual value. There is no mention of how well or otherwise Christie's have managed to move the tranche of Pubs listed back in the spring. I know of several PUbs, close to Wolverhampton, that have been closed and boarded up for almost 2 years, some Marston's Houses.
Redevelopment of Pub sites can be fraught with Planning issues. Developers in the current climate are reluctant to take unnecessary risks.