RE: RNS29 Jan 2024 10:37
Half of the trouble here is that we were told the situation in Mid December and then the research note confirmed a jetting process and then Pi's miss interpretation and over expectation from what they were told. This water jetting is not just a karcher patio cleaner that runs up and down the inside of the well bore cleaning off mud that after a couple of runs magically restores the flow rate. This problem arose during drilling which could be attributed to vast array of possible errors from the type of drill bit, the ROP, WOB, mud design, mud weight, viscosity, unknown unexpected pressure, lost circulation, driller had a brain fart, and list goes on. To save the well they decided to use heavy mud that because there is such a good permeability in the sandstone has migrated into the formation rock and literally gone almost as hard as the rock itself but without the permeability-in other words, like installing a 3m thick sticking plaster over the production zone and expecting the oil to find a way through it. This is what we were told mid December and now they are starting to cut through it just as we were told in mid December so they are doing what they said at more or less the time they anticipated. If anyone wants to argue about the 4th week or the 5th, then the chances are they were setting up the equipment during the 4th week and have started jetting in the 5th. To me, they have done pretty well this day and age with the huge issues everyone is experiencing with supply chains. The expected duration of 14 days, to me at least, suggests that they are cutting the holes individually at each of their identified zones as opposed to doing the entire zone in one hit, although if anyone on here has done this operation first hand then they may have a better idea. I/we never got to use what is essentially hydro-demolition back in the dark ages of offshore drilling so I haven't 'done it'--The offshore wells that we drilled were likely too deep and too deviated for jetting in any case so at the time, we only used explosives for well stimulation. This business is definitely frustrating but there is usually a solution to most of the problems--other than there being no hydrocarbons of course. Some years ago I bought Serica at about 12p, they had run into problems with their delivery pipeline and had to shut down production, SP of course tanked and the company were just a bunch of crooks according to various posters on the SQZ board. It was obvious they would resolve the problem--even if they had to run a new pipeline, so I sat on it for a while and waited and the rest is history as they say. Hopefully to be repeated with BCE.