Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
Ashmore latest
Argentina
Economic Activity Index -3.2% yoy in February vs. -6.0% consensus and -4.0% prior.
Economic Activity Index -0.2% mom in February vs. -0.8% mom prior.
Budget Balance ARS 625.0bn in March vs. ARS 1232.5bn prior.
Consumer Confidence Index 37.2 in April vs. 36.7 prior.
GLA
Cryptic, even by your standards, alwayshoping !
" Giro d'Italia - top cycling stories to your inbox ?" Such as...
...Giro d’Italia 2024 - Analysing the contenders (?)
Cyclingnews (25 Apr.) ..
or maybe
..."Tim Merlier prepares for big-name Giro d'Italia sprint showdown (?)
Cyclingnews (26 Apr.) ..
Say more !
ATB
Little Den doubles down on the marketing...
Just released https://twitter.com/CooperationCG/status/1784957195370504211
.."Minister Denis
@ChristelSassou
Nguesso was also invited to share his vision on how the public and private sectors of the Republic of Congo can capitalize on this new era of trade and investment between Africa and the countries of the CCG. The minister took this opportunity to present the assets of the Republic of Congo, specify the reforms undertaken to create an environment conducive to business as well as the current and future measures to guarantee the security of foreign investments. He further indicated that the Congo is committed to carrying out other major actions aimed at promoting economic growth through the development of key sectors such as agriculture, industry, tourism, digital, special economic zones, etc..."
Meanwhile, BrazzaNews relays a report of ongoing brownouts in the capital, Brazzaville...
https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/20240428-congo-brazzaville-cinq-jours-sans-%C3%A9lectricit%C3%A9-dans-la-capitale?
.."Just beyond the Centre national de radio et de télévision (CNRTV), all the districts of the capital of Congo-Brazzaville have become ghost zones by nightfall. You can't see any lights, like in this busy bakery, where making bread is no longer easy. Darel is one of the managers of this business: ‘For five days in a row we've had no power, and that's been difficult for us. Yesterday, we couldn't work for lack of electricity. And the generator consumes too much diesel compared to our profits, so it didn't work", he lamented.
Darel laments the fact that he cannot meet the demand of consumers who have run out of bread: ‘There is no bread in the district and people are condemned to starvation. It's really unfortunate", he added.
To cope with the lack of electricity, some businesses and shops are using generators, whose deafening noise is unbearable, as in front of this night pharmacy where sellers and buyers no longer know which way to turn: ‘If there are excessive power cuts, it's because the network has aged. There will always be an electricity problem in Brazzaville because the network hasn't been overhauled yet,’ they complain.
Fire
The company Énergie électrique du Congo explains the current situation by the destruction by fire of unknown origin of the high-voltage substation supplying the northern zone of Brazzaville. The scarcity of electricity is compounded by the lack of water. Water is flowing intermittently during this period of intense heat..."
Not the best of backdrops to your marketing, I'd say.
GLA
This appears to be a rehash of the 1AF2 pledged shares facility (just as RTOP was a 'variant on a theme' by SYME) :
(1) AZ through SFE (1AF2) is providing the margin/security ('junior debt') for the un-named non-bank financial institution;
(2) note that IT - not SFE- has the security;
.." the Italian neo banking group, through its investment banking division, acts as arranger and, following the necessary internal approvals, funder of the senior notes .... issued by securitisation special purpose entities formed directly by the latter bank;."
(3) note too that SYME's role is primarily administrative :
.." SYME is the platform provider and inventory servicer of the Stock Companies owned by SFE."
The overall 'take' may be the same/similar, but it'll be interesting to find out how much of the revenue-given its diminished role - it actually ends up with;
(4) and, as per usual, there's still a few things to sign off on.
Full marks for perseverance and creativity, though.
AFAICS, from a quick read.
GLA
Hi LOTM
Ref your musings re how MIRI might finance any cashflow shortfall, the new CFO has a great opportunity to use his expertise (and may have been brought in with this consideration in mind, amongst others).
.."Nic brings substantial equity capital and M&A experience from UBS Investment Bank and HSBC, alongside vast small and mid cap-focused public markets experience from Singer Capital Markets and CFO roles with Byotrol and Bannix Acquisition Corp. in the US..."
His 2.5m options have a strike price of 3p and vest over 3 years.
Let's hope it's a truly 'golden hello'.
GLA and ATB
Little Den has spoken again.
This - again hat-tip to MM - from the ZIOC board.
Possible cross-reference to KP2s Omani shareholder....(Oman is also in the frame for ZIOC).
Yesterday at the WEF meeting in Riyadh, Nguesso jnr all but name checked the front runners for GCC investment into Zanaga:
RIYADH: Member nations of the Gulf Cooperation Council can play a pivotal role in developing African economies, a special meeting of the World Economic Forum in Riyadh was told on Sunday.
Economic relations between Africa and the GCC are set to grow significantly in the coming years, economists have said, driven by mutual interests in economic diversification, investment and sustainable development.
Denis Christel Sassou Nguesso, the Republic of Congo’s international cooperation minister, said countries in central and western Africa had traditionally looked to Western powers, such as the US, France and the UK, for assistance with their development but were increasingly looking to forge links with GCC countries.
“IT’S A GOOD OPPORTUNITY AND POSITION TO START TO WORK ON THIS COOPERATION WITH (COUNTRIES SUCH AS) SAUDI ARABIA, UAE, QATAR, OMAN AND BAHRAIN. They can help (African) countries to develop their economies and infrastructure projects,” he said.
https://www.arabnews.pk/node/2500866/middle-east
A new version of 'the Great Game' !
Davos Man - the World Economic Forum - has convened a Special Meeting in Riyadh, on now
https://www.weforum.org/press/2024/04/world-economic-forum-convenes-special-meeting-on-global-collaboration-growth-and-energy-for-development/
Lots of the Great and the Good in attendance.
Bandar al Khorayef speaks tomorrow at the Centre for Advanced Manufacturing and Supply Chains
Little Den (neither great nor good, IMO) is there, plugging the co-operation theme.
https://twitter.com/CooperationCG
What with all the recent gallivanting - and coming hot from meeting EximBank - Little Den includes a short video basically saying 'I know there's been a lot of talk of co-operation, be patient, these things take time', we're going as fast as we can..'
Make of that what you will.
GLA
Hi 99icecream,
Hat-tip to MM on the ZIOC board for this, which might be topical for KP2...
Ministère de la Coopération Internationale - Congo @CooperationCG
Minister Denis @ChristelSassou Nguesso received, on April 25 in Brazzaville, the delegation of the Exim Bank China group currently on mission in Brazzaville. The two parties, during this meeting, discussed several current and future Sino-Congolese cooperation projects...
https://twitter.com/CooperationCG/status/1784221237482328434
ATB
Hi LOTM-13
Followed you over here from OCN.
Interesting ...thanks !
One Q : when you get to your 1m shares, you'll have nearly as many as the CEO's 1.2m (AFAICS) or the NEC's 1.6m.
Most picked up in last year's 3p placing.
Why so few, given how long the company's been around and the exciting recent news?
TIA and ATB (here and there !)
What's the story
Good find, MM.
It looks as though C-B is being groomed as the newest 'poster child' for Sino-African co-operation :
From your link
.."The meeting between the Minister and Exim Bank China is therefore of particular importance in a year in which China and Congo are celebrating the 60th anniversary of their fruitful collaboration. The year will also be marked by TWO OTHER MAJOR EVENTS: (1) the 11th Congo-China Joint Commission and (2) FOCAC, WHICH CONGO WILL CO-CHAIR FOR THE NEXT 3 YEARS.
The role of co-chair of FOCAC that the Congo is preparing to take on adds an extra dimension to these exchanges. The Congo will be playing a key role in promoting Sino-African cooperation over the next three years, and Exim Bank China's support will be essential in bringing to fruition the development projects that will be discussed at these meetings."
The FOCAC co-chair is normally appointed for 6 years, this appointment is for 3 years.
China's project financing under Bridges and Roads Initiative has fallen notably in the past few years and China is now shifting its focus toward making the BRI 'smaller and greener'.
The emphasis is on sustainable development, environmental protection, and debt management.
I think it's reasonable to speculate that C-B's been squeezed in because there's expected to be some relevant newsflow to showcase.
ZIOC (and KP2 for that matter, which I believe is also 'awaiting news' - 99icecream ?) would tick the boxes...
GLA and ATB
Https://www.eurasiantimes.com/refused-f-35-chinese-j-20-mighty-dragons/
"Refused F-35, Chinese J-20 Mighty Dragons A Possible Replacement For US Stealth Fighters For The UAE?.."
.."Recent UAE-China engagements suggest increasing cooperation, including potential military collaboration, highlighted by the UAE’s interest in Chinese aircraft like the J-20 following their inability to secure the F-35. This shift could reshape regional military dynamics and affect US-Gulf strategic ties,” the article added.
Air force-to-air force ties between the UAE and China have been burgeoning. On April 23, Major General Saleh Mohammed bin Majren Al Ameri, commander of Joint Operations for the UAE, visited Beijing and met with Lt General Chang Dingqiu, commander of the People’s Liberation Army-Air Force (PLAAF), at the headquarters of the Chinese Ministry of Defense.
Opting for J-20 seems plausible, as the UAE has already received the Chinese Falcon L-15 advanced trainer aircraft. The delivery of L-15s is seen as China getting a toehold in the Middle East defense market..."
'It's complicated'
GLA
Https://www.eurasiantimes.com/refused-f-35-chinese-j-20-mighty-dragons/
"Refused F-35, Chinese J-20 Mighty Dragons A Possible Replacement For US Stealth Fighters For The UAE?.."
.."Recent UAE-China engagements suggest increasing cooperation, including potential military collaboration, highlighted by the UAE’s interest in Chinese aircraft like the J-20 following their inability to secure the F-35. This shift could reshape regional military dynamics and affect US-Gulf strategic ties,” the article added.
Air force-to-air force ties between the UAE and China have been burgeoning. On April 23, Major General Saleh Mohammed bin Majren Al Ameri, commander of Joint Operations for the UAE, visited Beijing and met with Lt General Chang Dingqiu, commander of the People’s Liberation Army-Air Force (PLAAF), at the headquarters of the Chinese Ministry of Defense.
Opting for J-20 seems plausible, as the UAE has already received the Chinese Falcon L-15 advanced trainer aircraft. The delivery of L-15s is seen as China getting a toehold in the Middle East defense market..."
'It's complicated'
GLA
Apols for the somewhat O/T , but it IS the weekend.
It may be cold comfort for SRT investors, but we're not alone in being caught up in domestic Philippine politics, where this time it seems ideology, rather than financial gain, is frustrating a public good that would benefit the poor.
It concerns the recent prohibition on Golden Rice, a genetically-engineered rice that can materially reduce blindness in children caused by Vitamin A deficiency.
The case FOR is here :
hxxps://www.nnc.gov.ph/regional-offices/mindanao/region-ix-zamboanga-peninsula/5767-golden-rice-a-staple-food-with-precious-benefits
The background is here :
hxxps://geneticliteracyproject.org/2019/11/08/golden-rice-the-gmo-crop-loved-by-humanitarians-opposed-by-greenpeace/
"Note that because the two academic scientists who developed the original Golden Rice stipulated that it be made available to poor farmers for free Syngenta, or any other corporation, does not own the intellectual property in developing countries and therefore cannot charge royalties. According to IRRI (the International Rice Research Institute) the terms of the licenses in place in the Philippines and elsewhere ensure that Golden Rice varieties will cost no more than their conventional equivalents. This means that farmers will be able to save and replant Golden Rice seeds."
The benefits are clear :
.."Vitamin A deficiency (VAD) is one of the most important issues in terms of global public health, according to the World Health Organization. It is a leading cause of childhood blindness in the developing world, and weakens the immune system, increasing vulnerability to illnesses such as measles, respiratory infections and diarrhea, often leading to death.
The condition affects more than 140 million pre-school children in 118 nations, and more than seven million pregnant women. UNICEF estimates that 1.15 million child deaths are precipitated by vitamin A deficiency each year..."
The recent judgment by the Court of Appeals - to put a moratorium on the use of Golden Rice- is applauded by Greenpeace in these terms
ttps://www.greenpeace.org/philippines/press/63501/greenpeace-statement-on-peoples-win-against-genetically-modified-rice/
.."We reiterate our stance: the involved companies and agencies have yet to show concrete evidence that these crops would be in the best interest of Filipinos, our environment, and our agricultural sector..."
It's not quite clear who benefits from this verdict - apart from being a 'win' for Greenpeace's worldview, which seems to be that 'the environment' matters more than the people (witness its IMO equally irrational stance against nuclear energy, even more bizarre considering its potential as a transition contributor to 'net zero').
This is all sadly redolent of the apocryphal comment after the My Lai massacre in VietNam in 1968
'In order to save them [Ed.: from Communism] we had to kill them'.
Shame on you, Greenpeace!
Rant over.
You may be on to something, MM !
There does seem to be a rough adherence to a pattern.
'Material ' RNS's release date /day:
- Corporate/Project Update 28 March Thurs
- MoU with Chinese 28 Dec Thurs
- Funding update 14 Dec Thurs
- Interims release 29 Sept Fri
- Finals 3 July Mon (lots of content !)
- Acquisition of GLEN's stake 16 Dec Fri
- Notice of GM /results of AGM both 25 Nov Fri
- Notice of Acquisition 23 Nov Weds
-Notice of AGM 4 Nov Fri
with the more recent additional constraints imposed by time-zone and working week differences with the (presumed) counterparts...
GLA
.." the newsflow is now in.."
Well, there's the small detail of what the final net cost of this acquisition will turn out to be; what the take on the next lifting will be; and what else the BoD has been up to on the M&A front during this extended period of 'enforced idleness'.
Feel free to 'refute or retract'.
Found it. The 'blending of ore' bit is here
https://fortescue.com/news-and-media/news/2023/02/08/mining-convention-signed-for-the-belinga-iron-ore-project
“Geological mapping and sampling programs have confirmed our initial thoughts that this new West African iron ore hub may well one day prove to be among the largest in the world.
“The key aspect of this particular geology is its potential to dovetail with Fortescue Pilbara ore blends. In doing so it will preserve and enhance the iron ore industry of both Australia and Gabon....
"This emerging iron region is potentially massive. If it fulfils its promise, it will complement our Australian operations through enhancing our blended products, extending our mine lives and opening new global markets..."
ATB
Could be!
'Twiggy' has already physically shown his interest in W Africa, albeit next door.
https://fortescue.com/news-and-media/news/2023/12/04/fortescue-ships-first-product-from-belinga-iron-ore-project-in-gabon
Small-scale atm, you might almost cal it something like, I don't know, an Early Production Project ('EPP') ;->
Belinga is FMG 72% and African Transformation and Industrialisation Fund Limited (18%).
ATIF has Arise under its umbrella https://www.ariseiip.com/about-arise/ (part-owned by the Africa Finance Corp) and has a niche in SEZ's in various African countries, incl C-B.
There's also the conservation/forestry angle, to get Big Den on-side; an on-going interest, as you say, in 'big projects' eg Grand Inga; and - last but not least - FMG has the same ore quality issues facing the other Aussie miners....and IIRC is on record as saying that 'blending' Pilbara with higher content/lower impurity stuff from elsewhere might postpone the inevitable...
Two more 'last but not leasts' : (1) he's got the money (2) I remember AT mentioning FMG favourably in a throwaway aside at one point.
The permutations seem to be increasing, not narrowing...!
GLA and ATB
More topically, within the AAL RNS there's specific reference to the synergistic benefits of retaining in the package AAL's (green ore) Brazil interests...the 'Pilbara killer' thesis is alive and well.
ATB
See also part 2
https://www.rappler.com/newsbreak/investigative/big-fishers-close-in-small-filipino-fisherfolk-battle-municipal-waters/
If the EU flexes its muscles, this mess may get sorted out, AFAICS.
NAI, DYOR etc