Interesting correlation23 Jan 2021 13:09
Try plotting the number of Scinv's posts per day against the SP movement. It looks like "Scinv post density" is a fantastic predictor of the SP performance.
Assuming that he bought SNG shares around September, and looking at his post history, here's what I think has happened:
1. He bought well above the placing price.
2. The share tanked.
3. He was relieved to see it recover in the second half of December (he actually turned positive, can you believe it?).
4. He lost his patience and sold out on or around 5th January, right after a mini-spike at 160p on 4th January, so probably around the 155-158p mark.
5. He now regrets that decision but still hesitates to jump back in, having been burned once. That's why he turned into a prolific deramper.
Dear Scinv: instead of trying to convince yourself and everyone else that SNG will be a failure, please just learn from the past mistake(s), bite the bullet now and enjoy the ride with us! Whatever money you've lost on SNG so far will be a distant memory in a few weeks' time. Look, even Citadel have decided to reduce (or close completely) their stupid short.
I wish you all the best, honestly. Make this coming Monday the new beginning, the start of a happy life full of joy and no bereft with all this miserable feeling of having missed out.
ATB
EP