RE: India have made it clear on Interest, Legal fees & Damages28 Aug 2021 14:54
Bottom line is India want foreign investment, and a lot of it.
The 17 legal cases against them claiming the tax was illegal under international law are there for potential investors to see.
Two of the 17 have gone through International arbitration and won against India, namely Vodafone and Cairn.
These two cases are a massive problem for India as over 100 countries are signed up for the International arbitration so their courts will try to enforce any ruling, including seizing Indian assets to pay off the Compensation bills.
India are now saying they will pay the compensation bill, but won't pay the compensation for the interest and legal fees. In cairns case the bill is some $700 million and rising.
My opinion is there is no way they are going to write off $700 million. The more I think about it the more I think there is NO WAY. They have been awarded this compensation by the International Arbitration system, why should they write it off?
Maybe, just maybe IF the case Cairn have brought against Air India to seize their assets in the USA is disallowed (India have asked the court not to hear it siting some law from 1976) then maybe Cairn will acccept the $1 billion only. Maybe.
I suspect India wants to sort this mess out quickly now after dragging it out for 10 years or whatever it is. I suspect India will try to negotiate the interest and legal fees side, maybe offering oil/gas assets or cash. If I were Cairn I would not write off any more than say $100 million of the $700 million. The Indian Government could sell this saving to their public and blame the main opposition party for causing this embarrassing mess.
All IMHO.