Reiteration23 Dec 2020 07:47
:38
Repeated for benefit of new investors. Does not take into account recently found vein.
"According to historical records, there is 1 ounces of gold per 2.1 tons of gold ore. 78507ounces of gold were produced in 49 years. The average annual production of 1602.1ounces of gold. Is the gold content too low? If the content is low , then is there any mining value?"
1oz per 2.1 tonnes is about 13.3 g Au / T
I've previously published my analysis of a grade's contribution to share price with a brief explanation of method and assumptions.
grade in Au g / T impact on SP at assay result + 18 months ... assume 50% of that impact upon results in p
5 Au g / T 0.67p
10 Au g / T 1.35p
15 Au g / T 2.02p
20 Au g / T 2.69p
25 Au g / T 3.38p
30 Au g / T 4.05p
35 Au g / T 4.72p
40 Au g / T 5.4p
50 Au g / T 6.75p
so your expectation of 13 g Au / T would correspond to a share price increase of about 1.8 p
so if you discount the value of all the other assets Greenland etc an increase if SP of (1.8 - 0.47)p = 1.33p
1.33p / 0.47p = 283 %
the above is for Clogau using similar methodology as ...
Mining memoir 1996 for Gwynfynydd
https://www.nmrs.org.uk/assets/pdf/BM57/BM57-70-91-gwynfynydd.pdf
I conservatively value Gwynfynydd in production on its own at contributing 1.17 p per share value and here is why :->
Annual ore mined 10000 Tonnes
Grade 13 g Au / T ore
Annual gold mined 130000 g
Royalty 5200
Gold mined after royalty 124800 g / Annum
Gold price over 5 years 1000 £ per oz no premium, average last 5 years
35.2739907229 £ per g
Annual revenue £4,402,194.04
P/E ratio gold miners 16.78
Capitalisation of project £73,868,816.03
Shares in circulation 5570453989
Warrants un exercised 722080897
Shares warrant exercised 6292534886
Added Value per share 1.17 p
Following assumptions are conservative :-
No premium attached to the gold price
Gold price used is based on a rough average of the last 5 years less cost of production estmated at £200 per oz
Rate of production is as was using low tech
Factors that proportionally increase this :-
Premium for Welsh Gold
Higher world gold prices
Higher rates of gold production
naturally the converse would also be true