Member Info for Ed0008

Cheers Fitzy, great isn't it..

From 4am tomorrow

https://twitter.com/grantshapps/status/1470761568438833160?s=21

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-13/u-k-set-to-scrap-red-list-hotel-quarantines-as-soon-as-tuesday

Most at risk (by age etc.) have had booster shots...
(Would be very unusual for a young person (who may have not yet had booster to end up in hospital)

https://simpleflying.com/ba-resumes-nashville-and-new-orleans/amp/

https://simpleflying.com/ba-resumes-nashville-and-new-orleans/amp/

Exactly, this variant will quickly become endemic; no need for travel restrictions...

Young people are mostly asymptomatic, I can't see how hospitals could be overwhelmed by this (considering where we are with vaccinations)

How many over 60's in the UK? Just had a look, says 22% (of UK population 67,000000) = 15million approx. Doesn't that mean that most at risk have already had their boosters?!

As long as transatlantic flights remain open, downside share price should be limited. As Omicron already in US; doubt they would shut that flight route down...
(Plus, there seems to be a fair bit of US news indicating relatively mild disease caused by this new variant)

https://www.google.com/search?q=covid+death+rate+south+africa&oq=covi&aqs=chrome.0.69i59j69i60l3j69i57j35i39j0i131i433i512l2.3728j0j7&client=ms-android-sonymobile-nrev&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8

Does this not indicate that omicron is highly transmissible but less pathogenic...

Omicron cases have grown massively in South Africa, please check out the death rate people! No corresponding increase....(this has got to indicate something doesn't it)
://www.google.com/search?q=covid+death+rate+south+africa&oq=covid+&aqs=chrome.0.69i59j69i60l3j69i57j69i59j0i433i512j0i131i433i512.5566j0j7&client=ms-android-sonymobile-nrev&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8

I agree with most of these comments. There is likely to be some uncertainty ahead; we know that markets don't like uncertainty. Beyond this though I think is an important point to be made, and that it that these mutations are going to keep happening (as they do with flu for example) we are going to have to learn to live with this, we can't keep shutting down every time there is a new varient surely.....

Calm the aggression. I was simply pointing out that death rate is not following the exponential increase in infection rate in South Africa. This information is there if you bother to look for it)....!

Just been looking at some info on infections in South Africa. Not sure how accurate the graphs are etc. But it seems that with Omicron, the death rate is not following the infection rate at all (but it did with non Omicron Covids)

"Dr Michelle Groome of South Africa’s National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD) said there had been an “exponential increase” in infections over the past two weeks, from a weekly average of around 300 new cases per day to 1,000 last week, and most recently 3,500. On Wednesday, South Africa recorded 8,561 cases"
(Death rate does not seem to be following the infection rate at all)

Graphs seem to support your theory (up to 400 covid deaths per day in South Africa at the end of July, currently under 30 deaths per day) that's a pretty big reduction inspite of significant omicron cases.....

Very good point; you would therefore assume that there would be quite a high death rate in immunocompromised people with delta (I suppose there is information out there either supporting this hypothesis or not)