RE: The needle's jammed again15 Jan 2021 12:55
Fair enough yayay. Personally I think when grounds for cautious optimism have been there, those have been expressed. And the grounds for hope now are in getting the vulnerable (initially) vaccinated asap to drastically reduce the rate of death and serious illness. That's within reach and the challenge is to reduce both health and economic harm in the interim. No easy task, and particularly if you're in those industries most seriously affected, it must be gutwrenching to see the light at the end of the tunnel appear with the vaccines in November, only to see the new variants and more lockdowns arrive now.
It may not be particularly jolly, but not giving people *false* hope in a public health emergency like this is a better strategy than the yoyoing from 'Alas, Alas' Johnson. You've a better chance of taking a higher proportion of people with you. I think we're seeing the outcome of that in the second wave now. In the first wave the outcomes in Scotland weren't that different to rUK. Hospitalisation and death rates in the second wave are, at the moment, looking significantly better in Scotland. I think that's in part because people haven't been encouraged at any point to think we're out of the woods, so there's a higher level of consent to the current restrictions which are knackering lives/businesses/personal finances/mental health across the board.