Hannam Research28 Nov 2025 17:56
La India demonstrates epithermal system upside; channel sampling indicates pit extension potential Metals Exploration (“MTL”) is constructing the La India project in Nicaragua with plant erection and CIL tank fabrication starting this quarter. La India currently has a mine life of 12.5 years, however the latest channel samples from outside of the pit shell show the initial Phase 1 North pit could be extended by 100m to 300m, potentially extending this mine life. At the northwest-southeast trend, sampling showed a 2m massive quartz vein with a 5.1m hydrothermal breccia beneath. In total, the 7.1m graded 3.08g/t Au. Follow up drilling is required to confirm continuity at depth and along the northwest strike. The second structural zone tested was the continuity of the north-south trend with a 5.14m interval at 0.94g/t Au identified. MTL has 710m of planned drilling to follow up on the open pit extension and 826m of trenching. As well as results from these programmes, further key catalysts are maintaining construction progress at La India, exploration results from Dupax and Abra, and hitting revised 2025 guidance at Runruno. We maintain our valuation of GBp25/sh, offering 125% upside to the current share price. Possible pit extension of 100m-300m with follow up drill testing planned As the access roads to the Phase 1 North pit were being built, an area of fresh mineralised outcrops was exposed which allowed MTL to complete a systematic channel sampling outside of the current pit shell. With grades of 3.08g/t over 7.08m, this delivers strong potential to add material into the open pit if planned follow-up drilling confirms continuity at depth. MTL estimates the pit could be extended by 100m-300m. These results demonstrate that low-hanging fruit around La India could deliver mine life extensions, or even bring higher-grade material forward in the mine plan. With a 578km2 tenement area, we believe there is significant potential to be tested, funded by operational cash flow. La India continuing to progress, first production late 2026 The construction of the plant at La India should have commenced last month following its arrival in the country in September and subsequent transport to site. The plant has a capacity of 1.4Mt/year which should be upgraded to 1.8Mt/year. The bulk earthworks at the project should be completed with progress also being made at the tailings dam, offices, camp, and fuel storage facilities. La India hosts a resource of 2.28Moz and we anticipate first production in late 2026 with production of 157koz in 2027 at an AISC of US$1,216/oz and average production of 145koz/year at an AISC of US$1,176/oz over an initial 12.5 year mine life. Valuation: GBp25/share, 125% upside potential Our DCF-based SOTP valuation is GBp25/share, offering 125% upside from the current share price. This is based on 1x NAV for Runruno, where we assume operations cease in 2027 following the depletion of the reserve.