RE: Bill and Ben4 Mar 2022 10:28
Absolutely alligator - I have 30 years plus experience in multi fiscal multi political multi regions and whilst I appreciate I am an "armchair observer" and this is a small project with small project team they seem woefully inadequate, and when we finally get first gas I do not want everyone to step back and say all forgiven - because the gas prices are so high!
There are obvious "drilling management" issues and as an investor whilst I appreciate it is potentially difficult to fully determine how much is insured, how much is third party liability, we should at least understand how such a basic thing has "gone wrong". I thought that was what insurance was for as well?
I realise they are in a tight spot but feel possibly some of the reasons we find ourselves where we are (full project wise) could be due to the following reasons.
1. They have to resort to third party assistance to "manage" project.
2. That third party team may now allocate their "better" resources to bigger and longer term customers or did in teh first place?
3. They don't have the expertise to manage said contractors and fully understand where the issues arising (have) impact(ed) the critical paths and knock on effects
4. They consequently have not allocated enough budget to offset this risk but as time progressed should have realised the requirement. ie good project team lead / planner / project finance controller etc.?
5. It could be that the "budget over-runs" and late over-run analysis, were simply due to poor budgeting in the first place, poor control of correct budgets or they could even still be inaccurate and "over-budgeted" and the over-run isn't as bad as first thought? (pretty unlikely so late in project, so I'd infer the vowd was just too low versus "matched" invoices received and it was all a big surprise!)
6. I have no confidence on any of point 5. however regardless of possible reasons again, it simply points to inadequate management?
7. I understand exact liabilities may still be being determined, which impact "project costs" etc but, I'd still like to know who "carries the pail" for responsibility, for the drilling debacle and, what the capped liabilities are - as again for reasons in point 5 I don't want to find these over-runs did not include a "kitchen sink" estimate and they have forgotten or assumed some costs "responsibility" was elsewhere which has not crystallised as such but boy it "doesn't matter" because "the gas price is so high"!
I am a holder and have been buying more recently - because of "reasonable asset backing" and in spite of "perceived management "short-comings"".
I hope to see a positive RNS Monday - because as far as I am concerned they are still within the limits of previous one but if not we should be told as soon as possible with realistic timelines - even if they are not what we "want" to here!
Best of luck all and as ever, absolutely all IMHO and DYOR and feel free to "filter me" rather than resort to personal attacks!!