RE: RE: Company valuation2 May 2022 14:52
Peakview - I am shaking my head in disbelief that I am still holding here - in the vain hope we get some "real time" information regarding volumes - then we will see a revaluation - not to the halcyon heights you guys are talking about - but certainly higher than recently. LOG selling down is a complete non-starter by the way.
I personally think the "management" team have lost their confidence in posting anything "real" as if they muck this up, surely heads will have to start to roll, so they are buckling down until they can be 1000% certain that they get the profiles correct for the medium term, then hopefully they'll feel "brave" enough to issue the historic rates, with a two-three month "look-ahead"!?!!
Christ think about it, wouldn't you lose your confidence if the following happened to your team(s) - starting with the TW debacle, "outing" the capital structure and it's weaknesses, the "big well(s)" with their big CoS's which have come to crap all, the "relationship" with Perenco, the (truly embarassing) drilling debacle (where was (timely) plan B?!), the "last minute" budget over runs - and now to cap it all - they refuse to issue current guidance or medium term guidance - who could blame them?!
I think the "market" smells this (under-confidence). That's all.
When they finally get around to grasping the nettle - and hoping it is reasonable news - I think we will see a revaluation - but being a few quids in already and looking around elsewhere - I really want to stay (but am finding it difficult) for that last bit of "puzzle" and just wish they'd get on with it?
It is simply all IMHO and DYOR of course - wtgr to Alligator he should be writing (spy maybe?) novels instead of bb analysis, as there seems to be a certain bit of imagination there!!
I'd love to be proven wrong of course, Alligator, as I will be out of the door faster than someone can say, "crap management"!
Best of luck, all IMHO, DYOR and hope this makes a few smile today (not including Eddy of course, who has me on the filtered (but not really!) button!